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TULSA

TULSATLSA

1-2  |  Road

19
FINAL
Fri, Sep 19 • 7:30 PM ET
Boone Pickens Stadium
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

OKLAHOMA STOKST

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12
Key Game
Kyran Duhon
KEY GAME

Kyran Duhon

#0 | Defensive Lineman
@
Landon Dean
KEY GAME

Landon Dean

#88 | Defensive Tackle
Player
Kyran Duhon None-None
Landon Dean None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TULSA
0%
📊
OKLAHOMA ST
100%
TULSA --
OKLAHOMA ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
94.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
TULSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Tulsa)
TulsaTLSA (-3.5) 0 Oklahoma StOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tulsa Cover

90.1%

Oklahoma St Cover

9.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TLSA -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TLSA)

TLSA By 1-6 points

10.0%

TLSA By 7-13 points

16.8%

OKST By 1-6 points

5.3%

OKST By 7-13 points

2.8%

AI Model Projected Score
56
TULSA
38
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
17
TULSA
38
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Tulsa Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Oklahoma St Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Tulsa (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
B
Sim Oklahoma St (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 94.0
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 OKST @ TLSA 10 - 24
Sep 19, 2025 TLSA @ OKST 19 - 12
Sep 14, 2024 OKST @ TLSA 45 - 10
Sep 11, 2021 TLSA @ OKST 23 - 28
Sep 19, 2020 TLSA @ OKST 7 - 16
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +27.7% more
Tulsa: 22.5 vs Oklahoma State: 16.3
Total Yards (L5) +23.5% more
Tulsa: 383.7 vs Oklahoma State: 293.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +18.7% more
Tulsa: 154.7 vs Oklahoma State: 125.9
Turnovers (L5) +14.2% more
Tulsa: 2.2 vs Oklahoma State: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score 56.0 19
OKST Score 38.0 12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.3 / 22.5 24.0 / 21.0
Rushing Yards 125.9 / 154.7 185.0 / 205.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.27 / 0.37
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 293.4 / 383.7 403.0 / 424.0
Turnovers 1.9 / 2.2 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +0.9
OKST Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 17.5 ATS +/-: +6.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +0.9
OKST Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 17.5 ATS +/-: +6.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -5.7
OKST
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
TLSA
OKST
TLSA
ML
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
100% 5-0
ATS
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
TTL
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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