Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Rice @ Charlotte RICE @ CLT

RICE

RICERICE

2-1  |  Road

28
FINAL
Thu, Sep 18 • 7:30 PM ET
Jerry Richardson Stadium
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

CHARLOTTECLT

1-2  |  Home

17
Key Game
Enock Gota
KEY GAME

Enock Gota

#28 | Place kicker
@
Bronson Long
KEY GAME

Bronson Long

#95 | Punter
Player
Enock Gota None-None
Bronson Long None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RICE
100%
📊
CHARLOTTE
0%
RICE --
CHARLOTTE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
78.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Charlotte)
RiceRICE (-3.5) 0 CharlotteCLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rice Cover

38.8%

Charlotte Cover

61.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CLT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)

RICE By 1-6 points

14.7%

RICE By 7-13 points

12.1%

CLT By 1-6 points

17.0%

CLT By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
37
RICE
41
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
24
RICE
27
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Charlotte Loss
0% Win Prob
A
Sim Charlotte Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Charlotte (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
A
Sim Charlotte (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 78.0
A
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 18, 2025 RICE @ CLT 28 - 17
Sep 28, 2024 CLT @ RICE 21 - 20
Nov 18, 2023 RICE @ CLT 28 - 7
Oct 29, 2022 CLT @ RICE 56 - 23
Nov 6, 2021 RICE @ CLT 24 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +107.8% more
Charlotte: 2.1 vs Rice: 1.0
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +8.0% more
Charlotte: 0.5 vs Rice: 0.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +50.0% more
Rice: 218.9 vs Charlotte: 109.5
Time of Possession (L5) +9.0% more
Rice: 0.6 vs Charlotte: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RICE Score 37.0 28
CLT Score 41.0 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.7 / 21.8 22.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards 109.5 / 218.9 75.0 / 255.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.44 / 0.42
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 385.4 / 361.7 334.0 / 353.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 1.0 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -9.4 ATS +/-: +1.5
CLT
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -23.4 ATS +/-: -9.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -9.4 ATS +/-: +1.5
CLT
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -23.4 ATS +/-: -9.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -3.7
CLT
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
RICE
CLT
RICE
ML
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
TTL
20% 1-4
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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