TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
79-70 | Road
2
NEW YORK
METSNYM
76-73 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cole Winn
#60 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Nolan McLean
#26 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Winn | None-None | 1.53 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
| Nolan McLean | None-None | 1.19 | -- | 6.0 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.53
ERA
Ldr 1.19
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
52%
METS
48%
RANGERS
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.9%
TEX By 3-4 runs
14.4%
NYM By 1-2 runs
17.9%
NYM By 3-4 runs
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
5.81
TEXAS
New York
5.53
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
New York
6
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
A
Sim
Mets (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
NYM @ TEX
1 - 3
Sep 23, 2026
NYM @ TEX
7 - 2
Sep 22, 2026
NYM @ TEX
6 - 3
Sep 14, 2025
TEX @ NYM
2 - 5
Sep 13, 2025
TEX @ NYM
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
New York
NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.713
▲
OPS
.705
183
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+22.2% more
Texas: 9.0
vs
New York: 7.0
Total Bases (L5)
+19.5% more
Texas: 14.0
vs
New York: 11.2
Hits (L5)
+12.4% more
Texas: 8.9
vs
New York: 7.8
OPS (Season)
+0.8%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
New York: 70.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
5.8
2
NYM Score
5.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.8 / 8.9
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.8
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.0 / 9.0
8.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
11.2 / 14.0
14.0 / 9.0
Walks
2.9 / 1.8
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
TEX
NYM
TEX
ML
50%
79-80
53%
86-76
48%
76-83
57%
91-70
ATS
58%
93-66
57%
92-70
49%
78-81
61%
98-63
TTL
55%
80-66-13
53%
78-70-14
51%
74-72-13
55%
81-66-14
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
Yankees' Faithful Boo as Another Season Ends in Disappointment: …