CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
74-74 | Road
4
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
69-80 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Nick Lodolo
#40 | Starting Pitcher@
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Brady Basso
#66 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo | None-None | 3.30 | -- | 5.1 | 5 |
| Brady Basso | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.30
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
5.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
5 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
54%
ATHLETICS
46%
REDS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
CIN By 1-2 runs
12.7%
CIN By 3-4 runs
7.1%
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.4%
ATH By 3-4 runs
18.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
3.25
CINCINNATI
Athletics
5.55
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
6
CINCINNATI
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Win
46% Win Prob
D
Sim
Reds
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.3
B
Sim
Reds (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.8
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
ATH @ CIN
5 - 6
Aug 5, 2026
ATH @ CIN
2 - 3
Aug 4, 2026
ATH @ CIN
4 - 5
Sep 14, 2025
CIN @ ATH
4 - 7
Sep 13, 2025
CIN @ ATH
5 - 11
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati
CIN
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.699
OPS
▲
.719
213
▲
Home Runs
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+84.4% more
Athletics: 2.3
vs
Cincinnati: 1.2
Total Bases (L5)
+62.6% more
Athletics: 18.4
vs
Cincinnati: 11.3
Hits (L5)
+39.8% more
Athletics: 9.7
vs
Cincinnati: 6.9
Errors (L5)
+27.0% more
Athletics: 0.4
vs
Cincinnati: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
3.3
4
ATH Score
5.6
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.7 / 6.9
10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
2.3 / 1.2
4.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
7.9 / 7.5
3.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
18.4 / 11.3
23.0 / 18.0
Walks
3.7 / 3.6
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
Advantage
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
CIN
ATH
CIN
ML
59%
95-67
55%
88-71
54%
87-74
49%
79-81
ATS
52%
84-78
54%
86-73
50%
81-80
50%
80-80
TTL
54%
84-73-5
53%
81-73-5
42%
66-90-5
54%
83-72-5
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…