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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

69-80  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Sep 14 • 4:10 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

81-68  |  Home

11
Probable Pitchers
Denzer Guzman
STARTING PITCHER

Denzer Guzman

#23 | Third Base
@
Emerson Hancock
STARTING PITCHER

Emerson Hancock

#26 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Denzer Guzman None-None -- -- -- --
Emerson Hancock None-None 5.19 -- 1.2 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 5.19
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.2
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
42%
📊
MARINERS
58%
ANGELS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 53%
Under 0 47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Seattle)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

37.4%

Mariners Cover

62.6%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

9.8%

SEA By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SEA By 3-4 runs

17.0%

AI Model Projected Score
4.25
LOS ANGELES
5.54
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mariners Win
58% Win Prob
D
Sim Mariners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mariners (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim Mariners (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAA @ SEA 3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026 LAA @ SEA 4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026 LAA @ SEA 7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026 LAA @ SEA 6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026 SEA @ LAA 7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.10
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .379
.679
OPS
▲ .693
154
Home Runs
▲ 182
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +47.0% more
Seattle: 13.5 vs Los Angeles: 9.2
Home Runs (Season) +18.2% more
Seattle: 182.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Total Bases (L5) +11.2% more
Seattle: 13.5 vs Los Angeles: 12.1
Runs per Game (Season) +1.5% more
Seattle: 4.1 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.3 2
SEA Score 5.5 11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.4 / 7.1 16.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.3 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 13.5 / 9.2 18.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 13.5 / 12.1 26.0 / 10.0
Walks 1.5 / 4.2 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
5%MONEY95%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAA
SEA
LAA
ML
50% 81-81
59% 96-66
52% 85-77
55% 89-73
ATS
60% 98-64
60% 97-65
59% 95-67
51% 82-80
TTL
56% 85-67-10
53% 83-74-5
53% 81-71-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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