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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

69-79  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 13 • 9:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

80-68  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Mitch Farris
STARTING PITCHER

Mitch Farris

#70 | Relief Pitcher
@
Bryan Woo
STARTING PITCHER

Bryan Woo

#22 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Mitch Farris None-None 4.80 -- 4.0 7
Bryan Woo None-None 3.02 -- 6.0 13
None-None W-L None-None
4.80 ERA Ldr 3.02
-- WHIP --
4.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
7 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 13
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
43%
📊
MARINERS
57%
ANGELS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Seattle)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

41.5%

Mariners Cover

58.5%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

11.0%

SEA By 1-2 runs

19.5%

SEA By 3-4 runs

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
4.44
LOS ANGELES
5.3
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mariners Win
57% Win Prob
D
Sim Mariners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mariners (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
C
Sim Mariners (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAA @ SEA 3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026 LAA @ SEA 4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026 LAA @ SEA 7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026 LAA @ SEA 6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026 SEA @ LAA 7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.10
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .379
.679
OPS
▲ .693
154
Home Runs
▲ 182
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +39.6% more
Seattle: 12.3 vs Los Angeles: 8.8
Home Runs (Season) +18.2% more
Seattle: 182.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Home Runs (L5) +17.0% more
Seattle: 1.1 vs Los Angeles: 0.9
Total Bases (L5) +16.7% more
Seattle: 14.2 vs Los Angeles: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.4 3
SEA Score 5.3 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 1.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.1 / 7.6 6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 0.9 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 12.3 / 8.8 16.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 14.2 / 12.1 12.0 / 12.0
Walks 1.8 / 4.3 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAA
SEA
LAA
ML
50% 81-81
59% 96-66
52% 85-77
55% 89-73
ATS
60% 98-64
60% 97-65
59% 95-67
51% 82-80
TTL
56% 85-67-10
53% 83-74-5
53% 81-71-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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