ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
72-75 | Road
2
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
89-58 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andre Pallante
#53 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Aaron Ashby
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | None-None | 5.23 | -- | 5.0 | -- |
| Aaron Ashby | None-None | 2.48 | -- | 1.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.23
ERA
Ldr 2.48
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
38%
BREWERS
62%
CARDINALS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
STL By 1-2 runs
15.0%
STL By 3-4 runs
9.2%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.4%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
3.18
ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee
4.66
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
STL @ MIL
4 - 6
Sep 26, 2026
STL @ MIL
2 - 3
Sep 25, 2026
STL @ MIL
4 - 8
Jul 9, 2026
MIL @ STL
8 - 4
Jul 8, 2026
MIL @ STL
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis
STL
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.44
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.313
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.691
OPS
▲
.743
167
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+49.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.1
vs
St. Louis: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+46.9% more
Milwaukee: 14.9
vs
St. Louis: 10.1
Hits (L5)
+40.6% more
Milwaukee: 10.1
vs
St. Louis: 7.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+22.3% more
Milwaukee: 9.6
vs
St. Louis: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
3.2
2
MIL Score
4.7
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
0.0 / 3.0
Hits
10.1 / 7.2
10.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.6 / 7.8
9.0 / 2.0
Total Bases
14.9 / 10.1
14.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.8 / 4.0
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
STL
MIL
STL
ML
62%
101-61
53%
85-74
52%
84-78
52%
84-77
ATS
58%
94-68
56%
89-70
48%
78-84
53%
85-76
TTL
40%
62-92-8
46%
68-81-10
50%
77-77-8
50%
76-75-10
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