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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

69-77  |  Road

6
FINAL
Thu, Sep 11 • 9:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

78-68  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
@
Andres Munoz
STARTING PITCHER

Andres Munoz

#75 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jose Fermin None-None 5.10 -- 1.0 1
Andres Munoz None-None 1.60 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
5.10 ERA Ldr 1.60
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
44%
📊
MARINERS
56%
ANGELS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Seattle)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

39.1%

Mariners Cover

60.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.0%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.3%

SEA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

SEA By 3-4 runs

16.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.44
LOS ANGELES
5.55
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mariners Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim Mariners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mariners (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim Mariners (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAA @ SEA 3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026 LAA @ SEA 4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026 LAA @ SEA 7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026 LAA @ SEA 6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026 SEA @ LAA 7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.10
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .379
.679
OPS
▲ .693
154
Home Runs
▲ 182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +58.2% more
Seattle: 1.7 vs Los Angeles: 1.1
Total Bases (L5) +20.8% more
Seattle: 16.4 vs Los Angeles: 13.6
Home Runs (Season) +18.2% more
Seattle: 182.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Strikeouts (L5) +14.2% more
Seattle: 11.0 vs Los Angeles: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.4 6
SEA Score 5.6 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 1.4 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 9.3 / 8.2 9.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 1.1 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 11.0 / 9.6 17.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 16.4 / 13.6 13.0 / 20.0
Walks 1.5 / 4.7 2.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAA
SEA
LAA
ML
50% 81-81
59% 96-66
52% 85-77
55% 89-73
ATS
60% 98-64
60% 97-65
59% 95-67
51% 82-80
TTL
56% 85-67-10
53% 83-74-5
53% 81-71-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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