Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Steelers SEA @ PIT

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

0-1  |  Road

31
FINAL
Sun, Sep 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Acrisure Stadium
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

STEELERSPIT

1-0  |  Home

17
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Chris Boswell
KEY GAME

Chris Boswell

#9 | Place kicker
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Chris Boswell None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
📊
STEELERS
0%
SEAHAWKS --
STEELERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.8
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.8 points (Pittsburgh)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 SteelersPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

39.3%

Steelers Cover

60.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PIT -3.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

SEA By 1-6 points

14.8%

SEA By 7-13 points

12.3%

PIT By 1-6 points

17.0%

PIT By 7-13 points

17.9%

AI Model Projected Score
19.53
SEATTLE
23.34
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
20
SEATTLE
24
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Steelers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Steelers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Steelers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.8
D
Sim Steelers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 42.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 14, 2025 SEA @ PIT 31 - 17
Dec 31, 2023 PIT @ SEA 30 - 23
Oct 17, 2021 SEA @ PIT 20 - 23
Sep 15, 2019 SEA @ PIT 28 - 26
Nov 29, 2015 PIT @ SEA 30 - 39
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +8.9% more
Pittsburgh: 200.4 vs Seattle: 184.0
Turnovers (L5) +52.7% more
Seattle: 1.3 vs Pittsburgh: 0.6
Rushing Yards (L5) +24.0% more
Seattle: 100.0 vs Pittsburgh: 76.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 19.5 31
PIT Score 23.3 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.8 / 16.0 13.0 / 21.0
Net Passing Yards 200.4 / 184.0 195.0 / 278.0
Rushing Yards 76.0 / 100.0 72.0 / 117.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.33 / 0.43
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 276.4 / 284.0 267.0 / 395.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 1.3 2.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.0 / 5.3 4.5 / 6.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
PIT
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
PIT
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
PIT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
SEA
PIT
SEA
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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