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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

64-81  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Sep 10 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

68-77  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Taj Bradley
STARTING PITCHER

Taj Bradley

#26 | Starting Pitcher
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Taj Bradley None-None 4.88 -- 6.1 5
Reid Detmers None-None 3.96 -- 0.2 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.88 ERA Ldr 3.96
-- WHIP --
6.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
5 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
47%
📊
ANGELS
53%
TWINS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 42%
Under 0 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Minnesota)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

63.8%

Angels Cover

36.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.7%

MIN By 3-4 runs

17.3%

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.2%

LAA By 3-4 runs

9.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4.74
MINNESOTA
3.33
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
MINNESOTA
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Twins Loss
47% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Twins (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
C
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 MIN @ LAA 8 - 0
Sep 19, 2026 MIN @ LAA 5 - 6
Sep 18, 2026 MIN @ LAA 3 - 0
Sep 17, 2026 MIN @ LAA 4 - 5
Jul 12, 2026 LAA @ MIN 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.720 ▲
OPS
.679
187 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +19.4% more
Minnesota: 1.4 vs Los Angeles: 1.2
Home Runs (Season) +17.6% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +11.4% more
Minnesota: 4.6 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Walks (L5) +10.0% more
Minnesota: 3.9 vs Los Angeles: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 4.7 3
LAA Score 3.3 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.5 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.8 / 8.7 5.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.4 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.9 / 8.6 11.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 14.9 / 14.3 11.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.5 / 3.9 7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
MIN
LAA
MIN
ML
59% 96-66
52% 84-78
55% 89-73
50% 80-81
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 95-67
51% 82-80
59% 95-66
TTL
53% 83-74-5
51% 78-75-9
52% 82-75-5
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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