DETROIT
TIGERSDET
83-62 | Road
11
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
80-64 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brenan Hanifee
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Hill
#41 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenan Hanifee | None-None | 3.07 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Tim Hill | None-None | 3.14 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.07 Ldr
ERA
3.14
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
52%
YANKEES
48%
TIGERS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
18.4%
DET By 3-4 runs
19.6%
NYY By 1-2 runs
10.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
5.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
7.71
DETROIT
New York
4.71
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Detroit
6
DETROIT
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.4
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
DET @ NYY
6 - 2
Jun 30, 2026
DET @ NYY
9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
DET @ NYY
7 - 3
Jun 24, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 2
Jun 23, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.720
OPS
▲
1.041
181
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.9% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
New York: 2.0
Hits (L5)
+32.6% more
Detroit: 7.4
vs
New York: 5.0
Total Bases (L5)
+23.4% more
Detroit: 13.1
vs
New York: 10.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+14.1% more
Detroit: 8.2
vs
New York: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
7.7
11
NYY Score
4.7
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.0 / 7.4
8.0 / 16.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 0.9
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
7.1 / 8.2
8.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
10.0 / 13.1
12.0 / 27.0
Walks
4.5 / 3.2
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
DET
NYY
DET
ML
47%
76-85
54%
86-73
52%
85-77
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
95-66
64%
101-58
53%
86-76
57%
91-69
TTL
53%
81-73-7
46%
69-81-9
53%
82-72-7
46%
69-81-10
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