MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
89-56 | Road
4
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
75-70 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ezequiel Duran
#20 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 2.83 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Ezequiel Duran | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.83
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
60%
RANGERS
40%
BREWERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.3%
TEX By 1-2 runs
17.2%
TEX By 3-4 runs
11.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5.76
MILWAUKEE
Texas
5.13
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Texas
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Loss
60% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
TEX @ MIL
7 - 4
Aug 29, 2026
TEX @ MIL
3 - 5
Aug 28, 2026
TEX @ MIL
1 - 6
Sep 10, 2025
MIL @ TEX
3 - 6
Sep 9, 2025
MIL @ TEX
4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.743
▲
OPS
.713
154
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+29.6% more
Milwaukee: 8.9
vs
Texas: 6.3
Walks (L5)
+27.2% more
Milwaukee: 2.9
vs
Texas: 2.1
Runs per Game (Season)
+19.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Texas: 4.2
Total Bases (L5)
+11.6% more
Milwaukee: 12.2
vs
Texas: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.8
4
TEX Score
5.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.3 / 8.9
7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 0.5
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 8.5
5.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
10.8 / 12.2
13.0 / 17.0
Walks
2.1 / 2.9
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
MIL
TEX
MIL
ML
53%
86-76
62%
101-61
57%
91-70
52%
84-78
ATS
57%
92-70
58%
94-68
61%
98-63
48%
78-84
TTL
53%
78-70-14
40%
62-92-8
55%
81-66-14
50%
77-77-8
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