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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

64-80  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Sep 9 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

67-77  |  Home

12
Probable Pitchers
Zebby Matthews
STARTING PITCHER

Zebby Matthews

#52 | Starting Pitcher
@
Oswald Peraza
STARTING PITCHER

Oswald Peraza

#2 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Zebby Matthews None-None 5.06 -- 4.2 5
Oswald Peraza None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
5.06 ERA --
-- WHIP --
4.2 IP (Innings Pitched) --
5 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
48%
📊
ANGELS
52%
TWINS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 47%
Under 0 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Minnesota)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

76.4%

Angels Cover

23.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-2 runs

18.6%

MIN By 3-4 runs

19.5%

LAA By 1-2 runs

11.0%

LAA By 3-4 runs

5.7%

AI Model Projected Score
5.03
MINNESOTA
2.15
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
MINNESOTA
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Twins Loss
48% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Twins (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.9
D
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 MIN @ LAA 8 - 0
Sep 19, 2026 MIN @ LAA 5 - 6
Sep 18, 2026 MIN @ LAA 3 - 0
Sep 17, 2026 MIN @ LAA 4 - 5
Jul 12, 2026 LAA @ MIN 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.720 ▲
OPS
.679
187 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +55.8% more
Minnesota: 1.7 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Hits (L5) +38.5% more
Minnesota: 10.0 vs Los Angeles: 6.2
Total Bases (L5) +36.4% more
Minnesota: 17.0 vs Los Angeles: 10.8
Home Runs (Season) +17.6% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 5.0 2
LAA Score 2.2 12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.3 / 1.1 2.0 / 2.0
Hits 6.2 / 10.0 17.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 1.7 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.8 / 9.3 9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 10.8 / 17.0 23.0 / 9.0
Walks 4.8 / 4.3 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
MIN
LAA
MIN
ML
59% 96-66
52% 84-78
55% 89-73
50% 80-81
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 95-67
51% 82-80
59% 95-66
TTL
53% 83-74-5
51% 78-75-9
52% 82-75-5
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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