Key Game
KEY GAME
Brice Turner
#10 | Wide Receiver@
KEY GAME
Kyle Cunanan
#91 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Brice Turner | None-None |
| Kyle Cunanan | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
HOU CHRISTIAN
100%
NEBRASKA
0%
HOU CHRISTIAN
--
NEBRASKA
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
36.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NEB -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
HCU By 1-6 points
2.5%
HCU By 7-13 points
1.1%
NEB By 1-6 points
5.9%
NEB By 7-13 points
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
6
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Nebraska
30
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
10
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Nebraska
56
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nebraska
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Nebraska
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nebraska (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
C
Sim
Nebraska (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 36.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 66.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2025
HCU @ NEB
7 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+167.5% more
Nebraska: 162.9
vs
Houston Christian: 60.9
Total Yards (L5)
+102.2% more
Nebraska: 480.3
vs
Houston Christian: 237.5
First Downs (L5)
+69.2% more
Nebraska: 25.0
vs
Houston Christian: 14.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+24.0% more
Nebraska: 0.6
vs
Houston Christian: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
6.0
7
NEB Score
30.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
25.0 / 14.8
30.0 / 11.0
Rushing Yards
162.9 / 60.9
192.0 / 93.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.6 / 0.3
0.56 / 0.29
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.4
0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards
480.3 / 237.5
554.0 / 160.0
Turnovers
1.2 / 1.9
0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
--
NEB
Advantage
5-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 29.4
ATS +/-: +8.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
--
NEB
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 29.4
ATS +/-: +8.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
--
NEB
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0%
Total +/-: +6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
HCU
NEB
HCU
ML
100%
5-0
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
ATS
20%
1-4
33%
1-2
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2