Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Norfolk St @ Rutgers NORF @ RUTG

NORFOLK STATE

NORFOLK STNORF

1-1  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Sep 13 • 3:30 PM ET
SHI Stadium
View Odds Details →

RUTGERS

RUTGERSRUTG

2-0  |  Home

60
Key Game
Marco Peery
KEY GAME

Marco Peery

#97 | Place kicker
@
Dylan Braithwaite
KEY GAME

Dylan Braithwaite

#7 | Wide Receiver
Player
Marco Peery None-None
Dylan Braithwaite None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NORFOLK ST
100%
📊
RUTGERS
0%
NORFOLK ST --
RUTGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
57.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Rutgers)
Norfolk StNORF (-3.5) 0 RutgersRUTG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Norfolk St Cover

0.1%

Rutgers Cover

99.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around RUTG -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)

NORF By 1-6 points

0.0%

NORF By 7-13 points

0.0%

RUTG By 1-6 points

0.2%

RUTG By 7-13 points

0.9%

AI Model Projected Score
6
NORFOLK STATE
51
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
6
NORFOLK STATE
48
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rutgers Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Rutgers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rutgers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
C
Sim Rutgers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 57.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 54.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2025 NORF @ RUTG 10 - 60
Sep 5, 2015 NORF @ RUTG 13 - 63
Sep 7, 2013 NORF @ RUTG 0 - 38
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +147.3% more
Rutgers: 25.9 vs Norfolk State: 10.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +134.4% more
Rutgers: 162.9 vs Norfolk State: 69.5
Total Yards (L5) +114.0% more
Rutgers: 398.5 vs Norfolk State: 186.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +28.0% more
Rutgers: 0.5 vs Norfolk State: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NORF Score 6.0 10
RUTG Score 51.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.9 / 10.5 33.0 / 12.0
Rushing Yards 162.9 / 69.5 185.0 / 128.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.2 0.64 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.6 / 0.4
Total Yards 398.5 / 186.3 563.0 / 220.0
Turnovers 0.3 / 1.4 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NORF
--
RUTG Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: -7.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NORF
--
RUTG Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: -7.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NORF
--
RUTG
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +6.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
NORF
RUTG
NORF
ML
60% 3-2
100% 2-0
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
ATS
20% 1-4
50% 1-1
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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