Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech ODU @ VT

OLD DOMINION

OLD DOMINIONODU

1-1  |  Road

45
FINAL
Sat, Sep 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Lane Stadium
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

VIRGINIA TECHVT

0-2  |  Home

26
Key Game
Ian Brandt
KEY GAME

Ian Brandt

#96 | Punter
@
John Love
KEY GAME

John Love

#17 | Place kicker
Player
Ian Brandt None-None
John Love None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OLD DOMINION
100%
📊
VIRGINIA TECH
0%
OLD DOMINION --
VIRGINIA TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
60.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Virginia Tech)
Old DominionODU (-3.5) 0 Virginia TechVT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Old Dominion Cover

9.9%

Virginia Tech Cover

90.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around VT -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

ODU By 1-6 points

5.3%

ODU By 7-13 points

2.8%

VT By 1-6 points

10.0%

VT By 7-13 points

16.8%

AI Model Projected Score
21
OLD DOMINION
39
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
17
OLD DOMINION
34
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Virginia Tech Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Virginia Tech Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Virginia Tech (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
C
Sim Virginia Tech (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 60.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 ODU @ VT 21 - 44
Sep 13, 2025 ODU @ VT 45 - 26
Sep 14, 2024 VT @ ODU 37 - 17
Sep 2, 2023 ODU @ VT 17 - 36
Sep 2, 2022 VT @ ODU 17 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +52.9% more
Old Dominion: 270.8 vs Virginia Tech: 127.6
Total Yards (L5) +35.3% more
Old Dominion: 473.5 vs Virginia Tech: 306.4
First Downs (L5) +17.1% more
Old Dominion: 20.3 vs Virginia Tech: 16.8
Turnovers (L5) +13.8% more
Old Dominion: 1.5 vs Virginia Tech: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 21.0 45
VT Score 39.0 26
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.8 / 20.3 24.0 / 29.0
Rushing Yards 127.6 / 270.8 167.0 / 250.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.46 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 306.4 / 473.5 433.0 / 526.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 1.5 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
VT Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
VT Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.3
VT
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
ODU
VT
ODU
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
ATS
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
TTL
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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