Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Utah @ Wyoming UTAH @ WYO

UTAH

UTAHUTAH

2-0  |  Road

31
FINAL
Sat, Sep 13 • 8:00 PM ET
War Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

WYOMING

WYOMINGWYO

2-0  |  Home

6
Key Game
Orion Phillips
KEY GAME

Orion Phillips

#92 | Punter
@
Bart Edmiston
KEY GAME

Bart Edmiston

#18 | Punter
Player
Orion Phillips None-None
Bart Edmiston None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
UTAH
0%
📊
WYOMING
100%
UTAH --
WYOMING --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
25.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Utah)
UtahUTAH (-3.5) 0 WyomingWYO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utah Cover

82.3%

Wyoming Cover

17.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around UTAH -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

UTAH By 1-6 points

13.5%

UTAH By 7-13 points

19.3%

WYO By 1-6 points

8.6%

WYO By 7-13 points

5.3%

AI Model Projected Score
19
UTAH
6
WYOMING
Simulated Score
31
UTAH
17
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Utah Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Utah Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Utah (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
C
Sim Utah (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 25.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2025 UTAH @ WYO 31 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +17.0% more
Utah: 0.6 vs Wyoming: 0.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +15.3% more
Utah: 195.2 vs Wyoming: 165.3
Turnovers (L5) +54.0% more
Wyoming: 1.2 vs Utah: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 19.0 31
WYO Score 6.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.9 / 20.2 15.0 / 31.0
Rushing Yards 165.3 / 195.2 121.0 / 311.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.6 0.25 / 0.6
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.41 / 0.59
Total Yards 378.4 / 391.1 229.0 / 541.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.7 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
WYO
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
WYO
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
WYO
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
UTAH
WYO
UTAH
ML
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
100% 5-0
100% 4-0
ATS
20% 1-4
50% 2-2
100% 5-0
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-5
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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