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COLGATE

COLGATECOLG

0-2  |  Road

24
FINAL
Fri, Sep 12 • 7:00 PM ET
JMA Wireless Dome
View Odds Details →

SYRACUSE

SYRACUSESYR

1-1  |  Home

66
Key Game
Tyler Fontenot
KEY GAME

Tyler Fontenot

#37 | Place kicker
@
Rashard Perry
KEY GAME

Rashard Perry

#92 | Defensive Lineman
Player
Tyler Fontenot None-None
Rashard Perry None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COLGATE
100%
📊
SYRACUSE
0%
COLGATE --
SYRACUSE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-49.0
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +49.0 points (Syracuse)
ColgateCOLG (-3.5) 0 SyracuseSYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colgate Cover

0.0%

Syracuse Cover

100.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SYR -49.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)

COLG By 1-6 points

0.0%

COLG By 7-13 points

0.0%

SYR By 1-6 points

0.1%

SYR By 7-13 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
0
COLGATE
49
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
13
COLGATE
45
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Syracuse Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Syracuse Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Syracuse (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -49.0
B
Sim Syracuse (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 49.0
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2025 COLG @ SYR 24 - 66
Sep 2, 2023 COLG @ SYR 0 - 65
Sep 2, 2016 COLG @ SYR 7 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +114.8% more
Syracuse: 467.1 vs Colgate: 217.4
First Downs (L5) +107.1% more
Syracuse: 25.0 vs Colgate: 12.1
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
Syracuse: 0.4 vs Colgate: 0.3
Turnovers (L5) +31.2% more
Colgate: 2.0 vs Syracuse: 1.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLG Score 0.0 24
SYR Score 49.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.0 / 12.1 32.0 / 25.0
Rushing Yards 87.8 / 107.9 173.0 / 107.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.7 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 467.1 / 217.4 620.0 / 408.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 2.0 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLG
--
SYR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLG
--
SYR Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COLG
--
SYR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
COLG
SYR
COLG
ML
75% 3-1
50% 1-1
75% 3-1
50% 1-1
ATS
50% 2-2
0% 0-2
75% 3-1
0% 0-2
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-2
75% 3-1
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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