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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

89-55  |  Road

0
FINAL
Mon, Sep 8 • 8:05 PM ET
Globe Life Field
View Odds Details →

TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

74-70  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Jake Bauers
STARTING PITCHER

Jake Bauers

#9 | First Base
@
Cole Winn
STARTING PITCHER

Cole Winn

#60 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jake Bauers None-None -- -- -- --
Cole Winn None-None 1.32 -- 1.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 1.32
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.1
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
60%
📊
RANGERS
40%
BREWERS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 RangersTEX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

61.3%

Rangers Cover

38.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.7%

MIL By 3-4 runs

16.7%

TEX By 1-2 runs

15.9%

TEX By 3-4 runs

10.2%

AI Model Projected Score
6.24
MILWAUKEE
5.09
TEXAS
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim Rangers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2026 TEX @ MIL 7 - 4
Aug 29, 2026 TEX @ MIL 3 - 5
Aug 28, 2026 TEX @ MIL 1 - 6
Sep 10, 2025 MIL @ TEX 3 - 6
Sep 9, 2025 MIL @ TEX 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Texas TEX
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.743 ▲
OPS
.713
154
Home Runs
▲ 183
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +38.1% more
Milwaukee: 10.4 vs Texas: 6.4
Total Bases (L5) +33.6% more
Milwaukee: 15.2 vs Texas: 10.1
Walks (L5) +23.9% more
Milwaukee: 2.9 vs Texas: 2.2
Runs per Game (Season) +19.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Texas: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 6.2 0
TEX Score 5.1 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.4 / 10.4 6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 0.7 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.5 / 10.3 5.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 10.1 / 15.2 12.0 / 6.0
Walks 2.2 / 2.9 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
TEX
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
MIL
TEX
MIL
ML
53% 86-76
62% 101-61
57% 91-70
52% 84-78
ATS
57% 92-70
58% 94-68
61% 98-63
48% 78-84
TTL
53% 78-70-14
40% 62-92-8
55% 81-66-14
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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