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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

63-80  |  Road

12
FINAL
Mon, Sep 8 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

67-76  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Travis Adams
STARTING PITCHER

Travis Adams

#45 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Travis Adams None-None 8.00 -- 1.2 4
Jose Fermin None-None 4.82 -- 0.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
8.00 ERA Ldr 4.82
-- WHIP --
1.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
47%
📊
ANGELS
53%
TWINS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Minnesota)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

69.9%

Angels Cover

30.1%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.5%

MIN By 3-4 runs

18.6%

LAA By 1-2 runs

13.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

7.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.37
MINNESOTA
2.28
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
MINNESOTA
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Twins Win
47% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Twins (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
C
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 MIN @ LAA 8 - 0
Sep 19, 2026 MIN @ LAA 5 - 6
Sep 18, 2026 MIN @ LAA 3 - 0
Sep 17, 2026 MIN @ LAA 4 - 5
Jul 12, 2026 LAA @ MIN 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.720 ▲
OPS
.679
187 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +20.9% more
Minnesota: 8.5 vs Los Angeles: 6.7
Home Runs (Season) +17.6% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +11.4% more
Minnesota: 4.6 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Errors (L5) +11.0% more
Minnesota: 0.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 4.4 12
LAA Score 2.3 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.6 3.0 / 2.0
Hits 6.7 / 8.5 5.0 / 13.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.0 0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 6.8 / 7.5 13.0 / 13.0
Total Bases 12.2 / 13.5 8.0 / 24.0
Walks 4.1 / 4.0 6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
MIN
LAA
MIN
ML
59% 96-66
52% 84-78
55% 89-73
50% 80-81
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 95-67
51% 82-80
59% 95-66
TTL
53% 83-74-5
51% 78-75-9
52% 82-75-5
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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