Home / MLB Projections MLB / Rockies @ Dodgers COL @ LAD

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

40-103  |  Road

1
FINAL
Mon, Sep 8 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

79-64  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Juan Mejia None-None 3.86 -- 1.0 1
Tanner Scott None-None 4.47 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.86 Ldr ERA 4.47
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
24%
📊
DODGERS
76%
ROCKIES --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 39%
Under 0 61%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Los Angeles)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

36.0%

Dodgers Cover

64.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

COL By 1-2 runs

15.2%

COL By 3-4 runs

9.4%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

17.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3.85
COLORADO
5.28
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
7
COLORADO
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
76% Win Prob
B
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
C
Sim Rockies (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.739
OPS
▲ .762
180
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +48.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.4 vs Colorado: 0.9
Strikeouts (L5) +35.7% more
Los Angeles: 11.6 vs Colorado: 8.5
Home Runs (Season) +13.3% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Colorado: 180.0
Errors (L5) +11.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.1 vs Colorado: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 3.9 1
LAD Score 5.3 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.6 / 9.5 4.0 / 1.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 0.9 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 11.6 / 8.5 12.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 14.7 / 14.0 6.0 / 2.0
Walks 3.0 / 3.8 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
COL
LAD
COL
ML
56% 92-73
60% 97-64
48% 79-87
55% 88-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-64
43% 72-94
52% 83-78
TTL
48% 77-82-6
60% 93-62-6
44% 70-90-6
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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