MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
62-80 | Road
5
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
73-69 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Funderburk
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Luinder Avila
#58 | SP| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Funderburk | None-None | 4.55 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Luinder Avila | None-None | 1.80 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.55
ERA
Ldr 1.80
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
42%
ROYALS
58%
TWINS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
MIN By 1-2 runs
15.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
9.9%
KC By 1-2 runs
19.7%
KC By 3-4 runs
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.65
MINNESOTA
Kansas City
4.89
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
C
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
MIN @ KC
4 - 3
Aug 5, 2026
MIN @ KC
1 - 2
Aug 4, 2026
MIN @ KC
2 - 8
Jul 30, 2026
KC @ MIN
3 - 4
Jul 29, 2026
KC @ MIN
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.720
▲
OPS
.718
187
▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+82.0% more
Kansas City: 1.3
vs
Minnesota: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+17.7% more
Kansas City: 14.3
vs
Minnesota: 12.2
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.2%
Kansas City: 24.7%
vs
Minnesota: 24.5%
Errors (L5)
+83.0% more
Minnesota: 0.9
vs
Kansas City: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.7
5
KC Score
4.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.0 / 8.3
7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.5
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.7 / 7.7
12.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
14.3 / 12.2
10.0 / 16.0
Walks
3.2 / 3.5
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
MIN
KC
MIN
ML
55%
89-72
52%
84-78
56%
90-70
50%
80-81
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
95-67
58%
93-67
59%
95-66
TTL
58%
90-64-7
51%
78-75-9
54%
83-70-7
53%
80-72-9
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat