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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

66-77  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Sep 7 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

66-76  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Carlos Cortes
STARTING PITCHER

Carlos Cortes

#26 | Right Field
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Carlos Cortes None-None -- -- -- --
Reid Detmers None-None 4.00 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
50%
📊
ANGELS
50%
ATHLETICS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

79.1%

Angels Cover

20.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

18.0%

ATH By 3-4 runs

19.7%

LAA By 1-2 runs

9.9%

LAA By 3-4 runs

4.9%

AI Model Projected Score
6.38
ATHLETICS
3.14
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Athletics (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.2
D
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719 ▲
OPS
.679
194 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +48.4% more
Athletics: 2.2 vs Los Angeles: 1.2
Hits (L5) +45.6% more
Athletics: 13.0 vs Los Angeles: 7.1
Total Bases (L5) +45.3% more
Athletics: 22.5 vs Los Angeles: 12.3
Home Runs (Season) +20.6% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 6.4 3
LAA Score 3.1 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.1 / 13.0 6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 2.2 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.1 / 9.7 4.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 12.3 / 22.5 12.0 / 12.0
Walks 5.2 / 3.3 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
8%MONEY92%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59% 96-66
59% 95-67
55% 89-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-65
52% 84-78
51% 82-80
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 83-74-5
54% 84-73-5
52% 82-75-5
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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