SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
73-68 | Road
10
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
64-77 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Hurston Waldrep
#64 | Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 2.57 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Hurston Waldrep | None-None | 1.33 | -- | 5.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.57
ERA
Ldr 1.33
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
56%
BRAVES
44%
MARINERS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
SEA By 1-2 runs
12.9%
SEA By 3-4 runs
7.2%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.4%
ATL By 3-4 runs
18.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3.63
SEATTLE
Atlanta
5.86
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Atlanta
5
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Loss
44% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 6, 2026
ATL @ SEA
1 - 3
May 5, 2026
ATL @ SEA
3 - 2
May 4, 2026
ATL @ SEA
4 - 5
Sep 7, 2025
SEA @ ATL
18 - 2
Sep 6, 2025
SEA @ ATL
10 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.233
Avg (AVG)
.233
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.324
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.693
OPS
▲
.757
182
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+38.2% more
Atlanta: 14.1
vs
Seattle: 10.2
Hits (L5)
+33.5% more
Atlanta: 8.5
vs
Seattle: 6.3
Runs per Game (Season)
+22.0% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+11.2% more
Atlanta: 9.5
vs
Seattle: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.6
10
ATL Score
5.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.5 / 6.3
6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.0
1.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts
9.5 / 8.5
10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
14.1 / 10.2
10.0 / 28.0
Walks
1.8 / 1.8
9.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
SEA
ATL
SEA
ML
46%
77-90
50%
81-81
54%
90-78
52%
85-77
ATS
57%
96-71
60%
98-64
52%
87-81
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
83-73-11
56%
85-67-10
49%
76-80-11
53%
81-71-10
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