Home / MLB Projections MLB / Athletics @ Angels ATH @ LAA

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

65-77  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

66-75  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Brady Basso

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brady Basso None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 --
Jose Fermin None-None 4.88 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 4.88
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
49%
📊
ANGELS
51%
ATHLETICS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

64.3%

Angels Cover

35.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.7%

ATH By 3-4 runs

17.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.1%

LAA By 3-4 runs

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5.37
ATHLETICS
3.9
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
ATHLETICS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Win
49% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Athletics (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
C
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719 ▲
OPS
.679
194 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +45.9% more
Athletics: 1.4 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +44.6% more
Athletics: 15.2 vs Los Angeles: 8.4
Hits (L5) +43.0% more
Athletics: 9.1 vs Los Angeles: 5.2
Home Runs (Season) +20.6% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.4 17
LAA Score 3.9 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.1 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 5.2 / 9.1 11.0 / 21.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 1.4 2.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 8.2 / 10.0 8.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 8.4 / 15.2 20.0 / 37.0
Walks 4.8 / 3.5 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59% 96-66
59% 95-67
55% 89-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-65
52% 84-78
51% 82-80
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 83-74-5
54% 84-73-5
52% 82-75-5
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 3 hours, 41 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 3 hours, 59 minutes ago
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
sportsvideo 9 hours, 47 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 9 hours, 48 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 15 hours, 55 minutes ago