LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
78-61 | Road
3
PITTSBURGH
PIRATESPIT
63-77 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Yohan Ramirez
#49 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 2.82 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Yohan Ramirez | None-None | 5.67 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.82 Ldr
ERA
5.67
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.2
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
61%
PIRATES
39%
DODGERS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around PIT 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.4%
LAD By 3-4 runs
13.5%
PIT By 1-2 runs
18.5%
PIT By 3-4 runs
13.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.73
LOS ANGELES
Pittsburgh
4.75
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Pittsburgh
7
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Win
39% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: 0.0
C
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
PIT @ LAD
0 - 4
Aug 22, 2026
PIT @ LAD
3 - 4
Aug 21, 2026
PIT @ LAD
4 - 5
Jun 11, 2026
LAD @ PIT
8 - 6
Jun 10, 2026
LAD @ PIT
8 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Pittsburgh
PIT
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.73
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.253
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.330
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.404
.762
▲
OPS
.734
204
▲
Home Runs
186
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+32.0% more
Pittsburgh: 0.5
vs
Los Angeles: 0.2
Home Runs (L5)
+23.0% more
Pittsburgh: 1.0
vs
Los Angeles: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+10.4% more
Pittsburgh: 12.7
vs
Los Angeles: 11.5
Strikeouts (L5)
+9.3% more
Los Angeles: 9.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
4.7
3
PIT Score
4.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.2
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.7 / 7.7
9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.8
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 9.1
12.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
12.7 / 11.5
10.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.6 / 3.5
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
PIT
82-80-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
PIT
Advantage
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
PIT
81-74-7
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
LAD
PIT
LAD
ML
52%
82-77
56%
92-73
52%
85-78
48%
79-87
ATS
54%
86-73
59%
98-67
50%
81-82
43%
72-94
TTL
47%
72-81-6
48%
77-82-6
50%
79-78-6
44%
70-90-6
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