CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
52-88 | Road
11
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
62-77 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Travis Adams
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 5.81 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Travis Adams | None-None | 8.53 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.81 Ldr
ERA
8.53
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
42%
TWINS
58%
WHITE SOX
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
16.4%
MIN By 1-2 runs
16.2%
MIN By 3-4 runs
10.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.78
CHICAGO
Minnesota
3.74
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Minnesota
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Win
42% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
White Sox (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026
MIN @ CHW
6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026
CHW @ MIN
1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026
CHW @ MIN
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Minnesota
MIN
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+68.1% more
Chicago: 1.8
vs
Minnesota: 0.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+24.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Total Bases (L5)
+16.7% more
Chicago: 16.0
vs
Minnesota: 13.3
Walks (L5)
+11.3% more
Chicago: 4.3
vs
Minnesota: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.8
11
MIN Score
3.7
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.8 / 8.9
15.0 / 15.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.8
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 8.9
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.3 / 16.0
21.0 / 26.0
Walks
3.9 / 4.3
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHW
MIN
CHW
ML
52%
84-78
49%
81-86
50%
80-81
56%
94-73
ATS
59%
95-67
59%
99-68
59%
95-66
56%
93-74
TTL
51%
78-75-9
58%
96-69-2
53%
80-72-9
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat