CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

51-88  |  Road

4
FINAL
Wed, Sep 3 • 7:40 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

62-76  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
Kody Funderburk
STARTING PITCHER

Kody Funderburk

#57 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Taylor None-None 6.00 -- 1.1 2
Kody Funderburk None-None 4.80 -- 0.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
6.00 ERA Ldr 4.80
-- WHIP --
1.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
42%
📊
TWINS
58%
WHITE SOX --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 25%
Under 0 75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Chicago)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

53.9%

Twins Cover

46.1%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.0%

CHW By 3-4 runs

14.7%

MIN By 1-2 runs

17.7%

MIN By 3-4 runs

12.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4.35
CHICAGO
3.96
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Win
42% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI White Sox (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
C
Sim Twins (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026 MIN @ CHW 6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026 CHW @ MIN 1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026 CHW @ MIN 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Minnesota MIN
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.826 ▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲ 187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +60.4% more
Chicago: 2.2 vs Minnesota: 0.9
Total Bases (L5) +34.2% more
Chicago: 19.0 vs Minnesota: 12.5
Hits (L5) +25.1% more
Chicago: 10.3 vs Minnesota: 7.7
Runs per Game (Season) +24.0% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Minnesota: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 4.4 4
MIN Score 4.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.3 / 0.9 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.7 / 10.3 11.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 2.2 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.7 / 8.8 10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 12.5 / 19.0 15.0 / 10.0
Walks 4.3 / 4.5 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0