LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
65-73 | Road
4
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
70-68 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Lucas Erceg
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 3.92 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Lucas Erceg | None-None | 2.72 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.92
ERA
Ldr 2.72
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
46%
ROYALS
54%
ANGELS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
18.7%
LAA By 3-4 runs
14.0%
KC By 1-2 runs
18.2%
KC By 3-4 runs
13.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.14
LOS ANGELES
Kansas City
4
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Win
46% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
C
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 16, 2026
KC @ LAA
3 - 0
Aug 15, 2026
KC @ LAA
0 - 1
Aug 14, 2026
KC @ LAA
7 - 6
Apr 26, 2026
LAA @ KC
9 - 11
Apr 25, 2026
LAA @ KC
1 - 12
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.26
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.679
OPS
▲
.718
154
Home Runs
▲
170
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+54.4% more
Los Angeles: 4.0
vs
Kansas City: 1.8
Home Runs (L5)
+40.5% more
Los Angeles: 1.2
vs
Kansas City: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+18.1% more
Los Angeles: 12.3
vs
Kansas City: 10.1
Hits (L5)
+13.4% more
Los Angeles: 7.0
vs
Kansas City: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.1
4
KC Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.2
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.1 / 7.0
4.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.7 / 6.8
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
10.1 / 12.3
6.0 / 9.0
Walks
1.8 / 4.0
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
KC
Advantage
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
LAA
KC
LAA
ML
55%
89-72
59%
96-66
56%
90-70
55%
89-73
ATS
57%
91-70
60%
97-65
58%
93-67
51%
82-80
TTL
58%
90-64-7
53%
83-74-5
54%
83-70-7
52%
82-75-5
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