Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

70-69  |  Road

10
FINAL
Wed, Sep 3 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

39-100  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
JT Brubaker
STARTING PITCHER

JT Brubaker

#34 | Relief Pitcher
@
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
JT Brubaker None-None 4.42 -- 2.1 2
Juan Mejia None-None 3.93 -- 1.2 2
None-None W-L None-None
4.42 ERA Ldr 3.93
-- WHIP --
2.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.2
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
72%
📊
ROCKIES
28%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

61.4%

Rockies Cover

38.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

16.7%

COL By 1-2 runs

15.9%

COL By 3-4 runs

10.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4.89
SAN FRANCISCO
3.73
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
72% Win Prob
B
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.6
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +78.0% more
San Francisco: 2.7 vs Colorado: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +33.7% more
San Francisco: 21.1 vs Colorado: 14.0
Strikeouts (L5) +23.5% more
San Francisco: 9.7 vs Colorado: 7.4
Hits (L5) +17.0% more
San Francisco: 12.0 vs Colorado: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.9 10
COL Score 3.7 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.3 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.0 / 12.0 11.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 2.7 0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 7.4 / 9.7 6.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 14.0 / 21.1 14.0 / 22.0
Walks 2.8 / 2.8 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
95%MONEY5%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Nick Martinez's Journey from Ejection at Yankee Stadium to ALCS …
yourvalley_net 1 day, 14 hours ago
Yankees' Cam Schlittler Transforms Curveball into Lethal Weapon,…
yahoo 2 days, 20 hours ago
Phillies' Wild Card Collapse: Bullpen Blunders, Painter's Promis…
yahoo 3 days, 8 hours ago
White Sox Turn to Anthony Kay as Opener for Game 2, Aiming to St…
si 3 days, 20 hours ago
Giants Defy Odds: Harbaugh Applauds Resilience After Dramatic Wi…
sny 4 days, 2 hours ago