Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Kennesaw St @ Indiana KENN @ IU

KENNESAW STATE

KENNESAW STKENN

0-1  |  Road

9
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 12:00 PM ET
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

INDIANAIU

1-0  |  Home

56
Key Game
Daniel Kinney
KEY GAME

Daniel Kinney

#89 | Place kicker
@
Quinn Warren
KEY GAME

Quinn Warren

#93 | Place kicker
Player
Daniel Kinney None-None
Quinn Warren None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
KENNESAW ST
100%
📊
INDIANA
0%
KENNESAW ST --
INDIANA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
56.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.7
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.7 points (Indiana)
Kennesaw StKENN (-3.5) 0 IndianaIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kennesaw St Cover

3.9%

Indiana Cover

96.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around IU -24.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)

KENN By 1-6 points

2.3%

KENN By 7-13 points

1.0%

IU By 1-6 points

5.5%

IU By 7-13 points

11.5%

AI Model Projected Score
15.77
KENNESAW STATE
40.5
INDIANA
Simulated Score
13
KENNESAW STATE
38
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Indiana Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Indiana Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Indiana (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.7
C
Sim Indiana (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 56.3
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 KENN @ IU 9 - 56
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +58.5% more
Indiana: 23.7 vs Kennesaw State: 15.0
Total Yards (L5) +50.5% more
Indiana: 402.0 vs Kennesaw State: 267.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +43.6% more
Indiana: 184.3 vs Kennesaw State: 128.4
Time of Possession (L5) +12.0% more
Indiana: 0.6 vs Kennesaw State: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 15.8 9
IU Score 40.5 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.7 / 15.0 28.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards 184.3 / 128.4 313.0 / 89.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.56 / 0.15
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.4 0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards 402.0 / 267.1 593.0 / 271.0
Turnovers 0.8 / 0.7 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
IU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.4 ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
IU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 33.4 ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
IU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
KENN
IU
KENN
ML
100% 5-0
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
TTL
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
100% 5-0
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Dylan Raiola Highlights UCLA's Autzen Stadium Experience as Key …
si 0 minutes ago
Red River Rivalry 2026: Essential Fan Guide for Sooners vs. Long…
news9 1 day, 6 hours ago
Curt Cignetti Praises 'Extremely Impressive' Tape, Plans to 'Cag…
journalstar 2 days, 5 hours ago
Rutgers Crushed by Indiana 47-15 as Schiano Searches for Answers
si 3 days, 5 hours ago
Ryan Field Reopens to Rave Reviews from National College Footbal…
dailynorthwestern 3 days, 18 hours ago