Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / UConn @ Syracuse CONN @ SYR

UCONN

UCONNCONN

1-0  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 12:00 PM ET
JMA Wireless Dome
View Odds Details →

SYRACUSE

SYRACUSESYR

0-1  |  Home

27
Key Game
Kylish Hicks
KEY GAME

Kylish Hicks

#18 | Linebacker
@
David Omopariola
KEY GAME

David Omopariola

#18 | Linebacker
Player
Kylish Hicks None-None
David Omopariola None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
UCONN
100%
📊
SYRACUSE
0%
UCONN --
SYRACUSE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.7
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.7 points (Syracuse)
UConnCONN (-3.5) 0 SyracuseSYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

UConn Cover

20.2%

Syracuse Cover

79.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SYR -11.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)

CONN By 1-6 points

9.5%

CONN By 7-13 points

6.1%

SYR By 1-6 points

14.3%

SYR By 7-13 points

19.6%

AI Model Projected Score
33.1
UCONN
44.77
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
17
UCONN
38
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Syracuse Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Syracuse Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Syracuse (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.7
C
Sim Syracuse (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 77.9
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 SYR @ CONN 42 - 41
Sep 6, 2025 CONN @ SYR 20 - 27
Nov 23, 2024 CONN @ SYR 24 - 31
Sep 10, 2022 SYR @ CONN 48 - 14
Sep 22, 2018 CONN @ SYR 21 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +59.0% more
Syracuse: 1.1 vs UConn: 0.5
First Downs (L5) +16.8% more
Syracuse: 25.6 vs UConn: 21.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +49.9% more
UConn: 218.1 vs Syracuse: 109.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +12.0% more
UConn: 0.6 vs Syracuse: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CONN Score 33.1 20
SYR Score 44.8 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.6 / 21.9 24.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 109.2 / 218.1 45.0 / 142.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.6 0.33 / 0.29
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 470.2 / 463.3 461.0 / 418.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 0.5 2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CONN
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 9.8 ATS +/-: +9.0
SYR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CONN Advantage
3-1-1 (75.0%)
Margin: 9.8 ATS +/-: +9.0
SYR
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CONN
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +9.5
SYR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
CONN
SYR
CONN
ML
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
ATS
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
TTL
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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