Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Kent State @ Texas Tech KENT @ TTU

KENT STATE

KENT STATEKENT

1-0  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 12:00 PM ET
Jones AT&T Stadium
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

TEXAS TECHTTU

1-0  |  Home

62
Key Game
Jake Stoeckel
KEY GAME

Jake Stoeckel

#97 | Punter
@
Stone Harrington
KEY GAME

Stone Harrington

#48 | Place kicker
Player
Jake Stoeckel None-None
Stone Harrington None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
KENT STATE
100%
📊
TEXAS TECH
0%
KENT STATE --
TEXAS TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.5
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.5 points (Texas Tech)
Kent StateKENT (-3.5) 0 Texas TechTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kent State Cover

1.5%

Texas Tech Cover

98.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TTU -30.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

KENT By 1-6 points

0.9%

KENT By 7-13 points

0.3%

TTU By 1-6 points

2.7%

TTU By 7-13 points

6.9%

AI Model Projected Score
8.62
KENT STATE
39.12
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
13
KENT STATE
45
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Texas Tech Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Texas Tech Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Texas Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -30.5
C
Sim Texas Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 47.7
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 KENT @ TTU 14 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +143.6% more
Texas Tech: 218.5 vs Kent State: 89.7
First Downs (L5) +123.0% more
Texas Tech: 28.3 vs Kent State: 12.7
Total Yards (L5) +110.8% more
Texas Tech: 530.0 vs Kent State: 251.4
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +34.0% more
Texas Tech: 0.6 vs Kent State: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 8.6 14
TTU Score 39.1 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 28.3 / 12.7 27.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards 218.5 / 89.7 230.0 / 63.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.6 / 0.2 0.46 / 0.14
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 530.0 / 251.4 601.0 / 228.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.3 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -16.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
TTU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -16.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
TTU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -5.5
TTU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
KENT
TTU
KENT
ML
100% 5-0
100% 5-0
100% 5-0
100% 5-0
ATS
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
TTL
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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