Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Gardner-Webb @ Georgia Tech GWEB @ GT

GARDNER-WEBB

GARDNER-WEBBGWEB

1-0  |  Road

12
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 3:30 PM ET
Bobby Dodd Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

1-0  |  Home

59
Key Game
Nigel Lucas
KEY GAME

Nigel Lucas

#21 | Defensive Back
@
Aidan Birr
KEY GAME

Aidan Birr

#33 | Place kicker
Player
Nigel Lucas None-None
Aidan Birr None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GARDNER-WEBB
100%
📊
GEORGIA TECH
0%
GARDNER-WEBB --
GEORGIA TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Georgia Tech)
Gardner-WebbGWEB (-3.5) 0 Georgia TechGT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gardner-Webb Cover

49.5%

Georgia Tech Cover

50.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GT -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

GWEB By 1-6 points

16.4%

GWEB By 7-13 points

15.2%

GT By 1-6 points

16.5%

GT By 7-13 points

15.5%

AI Model Projected Score
22.57
GARDNER-WEBB
22.76
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
10
GARDNER-WEBB
48
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Georgia Tech Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Georgia Tech Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Georgia Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.2
C
Sim Georgia Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 45.3
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 GWEB @ GT 12 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +199.1% more
Georgia Tech: 237.6 vs Gardner-Webb: 79.4
First Downs (L5) +48.0% more
Georgia Tech: 24.2 vs Gardner-Webb: 16.4
Total Yards (L5) +47.6% more
Georgia Tech: 440.3 vs Gardner-Webb: 298.4
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +19.0% more
Georgia Tech: 0.5 vs Gardner-Webb: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score 22.6 12
GT Score 22.8 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 24.2 / 16.4 21.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 237.6 / 79.4 223.0 / 117.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.25 / 0.22
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards 440.3 / 298.4 680.0 / 326.0
Turnovers 1.9 / 3.1 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
--
GT Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
--
GT
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
--
GT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
GWEB
GT
GWEB
ML
25% 1-3
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
100% 3-0
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
TTL
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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