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FLORIDA A&M

FLORIDA A&MFAMU

0-1  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 6:00 PM ET
Flagler Credit Union Stadium
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA ATLANTIC

FAUFAU

0-1  |  Home

56
Key Game
Bobby Engstler
KEY GAME

Bobby Engstler

#38 | Punter
@
Tycoolhill Luman
KEY GAME

Tycoolhill Luman

#14 | Defensive Lineman
Player
Bobby Engstler None-None
Tycoolhill Luman None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
FLORIDA A&M
100%
📊
FAU
0%
FLORIDA A&M --
FAU --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
33.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.1
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.1 points (Florida Atlantic)
Florida A&MFAMU (-3.5) 0 FAUFAU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Florida A&M Cover

23.6%

FAU Cover

76.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around FAU -10.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)

FAMU By 1-6 points

10.7%

FAMU By 7-13 points

7.2%

FAU By 1-6 points

15.2%

FAU By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
11.74
FLORIDA A&M
21.81
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
13
FLORIDA A&M
38
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI FAU Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim FAU Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI FAU (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.1
C
Sim FAU (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 33.6
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 FAMU @ FAU 14 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +253.3% more
Florida Atlantic: 192.7 vs Florida A&M: 54.6
Turnovers (L5) +64.1% more
Florida Atlantic: 3.2 vs Florida A&M: 1.9
Total Yards (L5) +47.1% more
Florida Atlantic: 443.6 vs Florida A&M: 301.5
First Downs (L5) +24.3% more
Florida Atlantic: 21.4 vs Florida A&M: 17.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score 11.7 14
FAU Score 21.8 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.4 / 17.2 34.0 / 16.0
Rushing Yards 192.7 / 54.6 193.0 / 69.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.2 0.38 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 443.6 / 301.5 553.0 / 296.0
Turnovers 3.2 / 1.9 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
--
FAU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.6 ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU
--
FAU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.6 ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
--
FAU
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
FAMU
FAU
FAMU
ML
80% 4-1
100% 1-0
60% 3-2
100% 1-0
ATS
20% 1-4
0% 0-1
20% 1-4
0% 0-1
TTL
60% 3-2
0% 0-1
60% 3-2
0% 0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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