Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / NC Central @ Old Dominion NCCU @ ODU

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

NC CENTRALNCCU

1-1  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 6:00 PM ET
S.B. Ballard Stadium
View Odds Details →

OLD DOMINION

OLD DOMINIONODU

0-1  |  Home

54
Key Game
Jakarri Martin II
KEY GAME

Jakarri Martin II

#6 | Defensive Back
@
Ian Brandt
KEY GAME

Ian Brandt

#96 | Punter
Player
Jakarri Martin II None-None
Ian Brandt None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NC CENTRAL
100%
📊
OLD DOMINION
0%
NC CENTRAL --
OLD DOMINION --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Old Dominion)
NC CentralNCCU (-3.5) 0 Old DominionODU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

NC Central Cover

47.2%

Old Dominion Cover

52.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ODU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)

NCCU By 1-6 points

16.1%

NCCU By 7-13 points

14.6%

ODU By 1-6 points

16.7%

ODU By 7-13 points

16.1%

AI Model Projected Score
18.11
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
19.09
OLD DOMINION
Simulated Score
17
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
41
OLD DOMINION
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Old Dominion Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Old Dominion Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Old Dominion (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
C
Sim Old Dominion (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 37.2
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 NCCU @ ODU 6 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +237.5% more
Old Dominion: 272.7 vs North Carolina Central: 80.8
Total Yards (L5) +132.2% more
Old Dominion: 438.2 vs North Carolina Central: 188.7
First Downs (L5) +45.7% more
Old Dominion: 17.9 vs North Carolina Central: 12.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +25.0% more
Old Dominion: 0.5 vs North Carolina Central: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 18.1 6
ODU Score 19.1 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.9 / 12.3 25.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 272.7 / 80.8 267.0 / 136.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.2 0.3 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 438.2 / 188.7 544.0 / 237.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 1.6 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU
--
ODU Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU
--
ODU
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
--
ODU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ODU
NCCU
ODU
NCCU
ML
60% 3-2
100% 2-0
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
ATS
20% 1-4
100% 2-0
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
TTL
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Brandon Graham's Cryptic Take on Lane Johnson's Absence Raises E…
yahoo 3 days, 19 hours ago
Ryan Clark Reveals ESPN Exit Call: 'They Are Going to Let You Go'
awfulannouncing 2 weeks, 1 day ago
Gabe Jacas Impresses in NFL Debut, Highlights Illinois' Talent P…
headtopics 3 weeks, 4 days ago
Rose Bowl Debuts $30M Field Club as UCLA Eyes Football Renaissan…
headtopics 3 weeks, 6 days ago
Tennessee Tech Coach Bobby Wilder Blasts Chattanooga's Rusty Wri…
usatoday 4 weeks, 1 day ago