Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Akron @ Nebraska AKR @ NEB

AKRON

AKRONAKR

0-1  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 7:30 PM ET
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
View Odds Details →

NEBRASKA

NEBRASKANEB

1-0  |  Home

68
Key Game
Joseph Castle
KEY GAME

Joseph Castle

#95 | Punter
@
Kyle Cunanan
KEY GAME

Kyle Cunanan

#91 | Place kicker
Player
Joseph Castle None-None
Kyle Cunanan None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
AKRON
100%
📊
NEBRASKA
0%
AKRON --
NEBRASKA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Nebraska)
AkronAKR (-3.5) 0 NebraskaNEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Akron Cover

47.9%

Nebraska Cover

52.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NEB -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)

AKR By 1-6 points

16.2%

AKR By 7-13 points

14.8%

NEB By 1-6 points

16.6%

NEB By 7-13 points

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
23.65
AKRON
24.37
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
10
AKRON
38
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Nebraska Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Nebraska Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Nebraska (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.7
C
Sim Nebraska (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 AKR @ NEB 0 - 68
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +21.0% more
Nebraska: 22.0 vs Akron: 18.2
Turnovers (L5) +14.0% more
Nebraska: 1.2 vs Akron: 1.1
Time of Possession (L5) +11.0% more
Nebraska: 0.6 vs Akron: 0.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +9.0% more
Nebraska: 0.4 vs Akron: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AKR Score 23.7 0
NEB Score 24.4 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.0 / 18.2 31.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 127.3 / 120.2 234.0 / 113.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.8 / 0.07
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 356.4 / 328.4 728.0 / 175.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.1 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -14.6 ATS +/-: -6.1
NEB Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 29.4 ATS +/-: +8.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -14.6 ATS +/-: -6.1
NEB Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 29.4 ATS +/-: +8.8
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.5
NEB
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
AKR
NEB
AKR
ML
100% 5-0
100% 5-0
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
ATS
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
TTL
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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