Key Game
KEY GAME
Quay Kindell
#8 | Wide Receiver@
KEY GAME
Ibrahim Diawara
#1 | Defensive End| Player | |
|---|---|
| Quay Kindell | None-None |
| Ibrahim Diawara | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARLESTON SO
100%
COASTAL
0%
CHARLESTON SO
--
COASTAL
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.4
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.4 points (Coastal Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CCU -7.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)
CHSO By 1-6 points
12.6%
CHSO By 7-13 points
9.2%
CCU By 1-6 points
16.3%
CCU By 7-13 points
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston Southern
2.75
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Coastal Carolina
10.18
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Charleston Southern
10
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Coastal Carolina
48
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Coastal
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Coastal
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Coastal (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.4
C
Sim
Coastal (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2025
CHSO @ CCU
0 - 13
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+151.6% more
Coastal Carolina: 138.4
vs
Charleston Southern: 55.0
Total Yards (L5)
+73.2% more
Coastal Carolina: 315.6
vs
Charleston Southern: 182.2
First Downs (L5)
+50.9% more
Coastal Carolina: 16.4
vs
Charleston Southern: 10.9
Turnovers (L5)
+16.8% more
Coastal Carolina: 2.2
vs
Charleston Southern: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score
2.8
0
CCU Score
10.2
13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
16.4 / 10.9
27.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards
138.4 / 55.0
245.0 / 98.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.2
0.5 / 0.0
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.59 / 0.41
Total Yards
315.6 / 182.2
384.0 / 153.0
Turnovers
2.2 / 1.9
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
--
CCU
Advantage
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
--
CCU
Advantage
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
--
CCU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0%
Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
CHSO
CCU
CHSO
ML
60%
3-2
100%
2-0
80%
4-1
100%
2-0
ATS
40%
2-3
50%
1-1
60%
3-2
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3-1
0%
0-2
50%
2-2-1
50%
1-1