Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / E Washington @ Boise St EWU @ BOIS

EASTERN WASHINGTON

E WASHINGTONEWU

0-1  |  Road

14
FINAL
Fri, Sep 5 • 9:00 PM ET
Albertsons Stadium
View Odds Details →

BOISE STATE

BOISE STBOIS

0-1  |  Home

51
Key Game
Soren McKee
KEY GAME

Soren McKee

#16 | Place kicker
@
Oscar Doyle
KEY GAME

Oscar Doyle

#37 | Punter
Player
Soren McKee None-None
Oscar Doyle None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
E WASHINGTON
100%
📊
BOISE ST
0%
E WASHINGTON --
BOISE ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.4
BOISE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.4 points (Boise State)
E WashingtonEWU (-3.5) 0 Boise StBOIS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

E Washington Cover

27.3%

Boise St Cover

72.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around BOIS -8.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOIS)

EWU By 1-6 points

11.9%

EWU By 7-13 points

8.4%

BOIS By 1-6 points

16.0%

BOIS By 7-13 points

19.6%

AI Model Projected Score
16.38
EASTERN WASHINGTON
24.82
BOISE STATE
Simulated Score
13
EASTERN WASHINGTON
45
BOISE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Boise St Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Boise St Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Boise St (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.4
B
Sim Boise St (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 41.2
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2025 EWU @ BOIS 14 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +36.1% more
Boise State: 2.1 vs Eastern Washington: 1.6
Rushing Yards (L5) +19.1% more
Boise State: 164.6 vs Eastern Washington: 138.1
Total Yards (L5) +12.1% more
Boise State: 402.2 vs Eastern Washington: 358.7
First Downs (L5) +10.3% more
Boise State: 23.5 vs Eastern Washington: 21.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EWU Score 16.4 14
BOIS Score 24.8 51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.5 / 21.3 22.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 164.6 / 138.1 328.0 / 117.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.54 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 402.2 / 358.7 637.0 / 293.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 1.6 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
--
BOIS Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 13.8 ATS +/-: +5.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
--
BOIS Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.8 ATS +/-: +5.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
--
BOIS
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOIS
EWU
BOIS
EWU
ML
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
ATS
20% 1-4
50% 1-1
60% 3-2
0% 0-2
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
60% 3-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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