Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

69-69  |  Road

7
FINAL
Tue, Sep 2 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

39-99  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Logan Webb
STARTING PITCHER

Logan Webb

#62 | Starting Pitcher
@
Jimmy Herget
STARTING PITCHER

Jimmy Herget

#44 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Logan Webb None-None 3.17 -- 5.0 7
Jimmy Herget None-None 2.55 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.17 ERA Ldr 2.55
-- WHIP --
5.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
7 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
72%
📊
ROCKIES
28%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

61.9%

Rockies Cover

38.1%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

16.8%

COL By 1-2 runs

15.8%

COL By 3-4 runs

10.0%

AI Model Projected Score
4.82
SAN FRANCISCO
3.61
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
72% Win Prob
B
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +80.7% more
San Francisco: 2.0 vs Colorado: 0.4
Strikeouts (L5) +25.3% more
San Francisco: 9.5 vs Colorado: 7.1
Total Bases (L5) +21.7% more
San Francisco: 19.1 vs Colorado: 15.0
Errors (L5) +21.0% more
San Francisco: 0.4 vs Colorado: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.8 7
COL Score 3.6 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.4 / 11.5 9.0 / 13.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 2.0 1.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 7.1 / 9.5 8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 15.0 / 19.1 12.0 / 25.0
Walks 3.8 / 2.7 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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