CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
49-88 | Road
6
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
62-74 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Chase Meidroth
#10 | Second Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Travis Adams
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Meidroth | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Travis Adams | None-None | 7.40 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
7.40
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
40%
TWINS
60%
WHITE SOX
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CHW By 1-2 runs
17.0%
CHW By 3-4 runs
11.4%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.4%
MIN By 3-4 runs
15.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.77
CHICAGO
Minnesota
4.49
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Minnesota
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.7
C
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026
MIN @ CHW
6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026
CHW @ MIN
1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026
CHW @ MIN
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Minnesota
MIN
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18600.0% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+45.5% more
Minnesota: 1.5
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Total Bases (L5)
+11.1% more
Minnesota: 13.6
vs
Chicago: 12.2
Hits (L5)
+8.8% more
Minnesota: 8.2
vs
Chicago: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.8
6
MIN Score
4.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 1.1
1.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.2 / 7.5
8.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 1.0
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 10.1
5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
13.6 / 12.2
14.0 / 22.0
Walks
3.6 / 5.4
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHW
MIN
CHW
ML
52%
84-78
49%
81-86
50%
80-81
56%
94-73
ATS
59%
95-67
59%
99-68
59%
95-66
56%
93-74
TTL
51%
78-75-9
58%
96-69-2
53%
80-72-9
51%
84-81-2
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