Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

68-69  |  Road

8
FINAL
Mon, Sep 1 • 4:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

39-98  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Keaton Winn

#67 | Relief Pitcher
@
Kyle Karros
STARTING PITCHER

Kyle Karros

#12 | Third Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Keaton Winn None-None 3.00 -- 2.0 1
Kyle Karros None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.00 ERA --
-- WHIP --
2.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
71%
📊
ROCKIES
29%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

57.4%

Rockies Cover

42.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.4%

SF By 3-4 runs

15.7%

COL By 1-2 runs

16.9%

COL By 3-4 runs

11.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4.54
SAN FRANCISCO
3.79
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
71% Win Prob
B
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.3
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +62.1% more
San Francisco: 1.5 vs Colorado: 0.6
Errors (L5) +31.0% more
San Francisco: 0.7 vs Colorado: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +22.7% more
San Francisco: 18.7 vs Colorado: 14.4
Hits (L5) +22.0% more
San Francisco: 11.8 vs Colorado: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.5 8
COL Score 3.8 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.2 / 11.8 13.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 1.5 0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 7.7 / 9.3 6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 14.4 / 18.7 16.0 / 20.0
Walks 3.7 / 4.1 4.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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