SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
72-64 | Road
4
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
68-66 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Matt Festa
#52 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 1.69 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Matt Festa | None-None | 4.53 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.69 Ldr
ERA
4.53
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
52%
GUARDIANS
48%
MARINERS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.2%
CLE By 1-2 runs
16.5%
CLE By 3-4 runs
10.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4.15
SEATTLE
Cleveland
3.21
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
A
Sim
Guardians (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
SEA @ CLE
5 - 6
Jun 27, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 4
Jun 26, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 1
Mar 29, 2026
CLE @ SEA
0 - 8
Mar 28, 2026
CLE @ SEA
6 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.19
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.380
.693
OPS
▲
.696
182
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+77.0% more
Seattle: 0.9
vs
Cleveland: 0.1
Home Runs (L5)
+40.3% more
Seattle: 1.6
vs
Cleveland: 1.0
Total Bases (L5)
+30.5% more
Seattle: 13.6
vs
Cleveland: 9.4
Hits (L5)
+19.0% more
Seattle: 7.4
vs
Cleveland: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.2
4
CLE Score
3.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.0 / 7.4
2.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.6
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 8.5
5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
9.4 / 13.6
6.0 / 12.0
Walks
2.6 / 2.5
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
SEA
CLE
SEA
ML
54%
87-74
50%
81-81
49%
80-82
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
93-68
60%
98-64
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
TTL
55%
88-71-2
56%
85-67-10
43%
69-90-2
53%
81-71-10
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Trump to Honor Roger Clemens with Presidential Medal of Freedom