NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
76-60 | Road
2
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
48-88 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Hill
#41 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Chase Meidroth
#10 | Second Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | None-None | 2.93 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Chase Meidroth | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.93
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
70%
WHITE SOX
30%
YANKEES
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -4.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
15.0%
NYY By 3-4 runs
19.2%
CHW By 1-2 runs
6.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
2.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
7.52
NEW YORK
Chicago
3.03
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Loss
70% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.5
B
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.5
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 30, 2026
NYY @ CHW
1 - 2
Jul 29, 2026
NYY @ CHW
5 - 6
Jul 28, 2026
NYY @ CHW
3 - 2
Jul 27, 2026
NYY @ CHW
9 - 5
Jun 18, 2026
CHW @ NYY
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Chicago
CHW
1
Games Played
1
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
6.00
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.324
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.415
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
1.041
▲
OPS
.826
2
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+80.1% more
New York: 2.6
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+33.6% more
New York: 17.8
vs
Chicago: 11.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+33.3% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Chicago: 6.0
OPS (Season)
+21.5%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Chicago: 82.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
7.5
2
CHW Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.8 / 8.2
5.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 2.6
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 10.1
10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
11.8 / 17.8
13.0 / 11.0
Walks
5.1 / 2.4
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
NYY
CHW
NYY
ML
49%
81-86
47%
76-85
56%
94-73
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
99-68
59%
95-66
56%
93-74
53%
86-76
TTL
58%
96-69-2
53%
81-73-7
51%
84-81-2
53%
82-72-7
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