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ARIZONA

DIAMONDBACKSARI

68-69  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Aug 31 • 4:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

77-59  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Brandyn Garcia
STARTING PITCHER

Brandyn Garcia

#55 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brandyn Garcia None-None 6.00 -- 2.2 3
Tanner Scott None-None 4.44 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
6.00 ERA Ldr 4.44
-- WHIP --
2.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
3 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
43%
📊
DODGERS
57%
DIAMONDBACKS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Arizona)
DiamondbacksARI (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Diamondbacks Cover

60.7%

Dodgers Cover

39.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ARI -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)

ARI By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ARI By 3-4 runs

16.5%

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.1%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6.08
ARIZONA
4.99
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
5
ARIZONA
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Diamondbacks Loss
43% Win Prob
D
Sim Diamondbacks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Diamondbacks (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim Diamondbacks (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 9, 2026 LAD @ ARI 2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026 LAD @ ARI 2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026 LAD @ ARI 3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026 ARI @ LAD 5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 ARI @ LAD 9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona ARI
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.318
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.720
OPS
▲ .762
166
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +43.4% more
Arizona: 1.3 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +27.6% more
Arizona: 13.8 vs Los Angeles: 10.0
Hits (L5) +21.9% more
Arizona: 7.9 vs Los Angeles: 6.2
Walks (L5) +21.2% more
Arizona: 3.8 vs Los Angeles: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 6.1 4
LAD Score 5.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.2 / 7.9 10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 1.3 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 11.0 / 7.3 11.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 10.0 / 13.8 14.0 / 10.0
Walks 3.0 / 3.8 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
86-76-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ARI
LAD
ARI
ML
56% 92-73
54% 87-74
48% 79-87
54% 86-74
ATS
59% 98-67
57% 91-70
43% 72-94
56% 89-71
TTL
48% 77-82-6
52% 80-73-8
44% 70-90-6
49% 73-77-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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