LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
62-72 | Road
4
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
75-60 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Fermin
#65 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Enyel De Los Santos
#65 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Fermin | None-None | 5.11 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | None-None | 3.98 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.11
ERA
Ldr 3.98
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
41%
ASTROS
59%
ANGELS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.8%
LAA By 3-4 runs
12.5%
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.0%
HOU By 3-4 runs
14.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.24
LOS ANGELES
Houston
3.59
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Houston
4
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Astros
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Astros (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
D
Sim
Angels (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
LAA @ HOU
18 - 3
Aug 19, 2026
LAA @ HOU
2 - 3
Aug 18, 2026
LAA @ HOU
3 - 1
Jul 29, 2026
HOU @ LAA
7 - 4
Jul 28, 2026
HOU @ LAA
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.04
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.310
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.369
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.679
▲
OPS
.582
154
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+86.8% more
Houston: 10.6
vs
Los Angeles: 5.7
Hits (L5)
+67.4% more
Houston: 8.4
vs
Los Angeles: 5.0
Total Bases (L5)
+43.4% more
Houston: 13.6
vs
Los Angeles: 9.5
Home Runs (L5)
+41.0% more
Houston: 1.4
vs
Los Angeles: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.2
4
HOU Score
3.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.4 / 5.0
7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.6 / 5.7
14.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
13.6 / 9.5
8.0 / 9.0
Walks
4.0 / 4.4
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
LAA
HOU
LAA
ML
50%
81-82
59%
96-66
47%
77-87
55%
89-73
ATS
56%
91-72
60%
97-65
55%
90-74
51%
82-80
TTL
45%
70-84-9
53%
83-74-5
45%
69-86-9
52%
82-75-5
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