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ARIZONA

DIAMONDBACKSARI

67-69  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 9:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

77-58  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Eduardo Rodriguez
STARTING PITCHER

Eduardo Rodriguez

#57 | Starting Pitcher
@
Edgardo Henriquez
STARTING PITCHER

Edgardo Henriquez

#60 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Eduardo Rodriguez None-None 5.40 -- 6.0 4
Edgardo Henriquez None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
5.40 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
6.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
42%
📊
DODGERS
58%
DIAMONDBACKS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
DiamondbacksARI (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Diamondbacks Cover

39.9%

Dodgers Cover

60.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

ARI By 1-2 runs

16.3%

ARI By 3-4 runs

10.6%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.4%

AI Model Projected Score
5.26
ARIZONA
6.28
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
5
ARIZONA
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Sim Diamondbacks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Diamondbacks (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 9, 2026 LAD @ ARI 2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026 LAD @ ARI 2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026 LAD @ ARI 3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026 ARI @ LAD 5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 ARI @ LAD 9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona ARI
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.318
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.720
OPS
▲ .762
166
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +74.1% more
Los Angeles: 13.0 vs Arizona: 7.5
Walks (L5) +24.1% more
Los Angeles: 4.0 vs Arizona: 3.2
Home Runs (Season) +22.9% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Arizona: 166.0
Home Runs (L5) +15.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.1 vs Arizona: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 5.3 6
LAD Score 6.3 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.4 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.3 / 7.9 6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 0.9 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 13.0 / 7.5 7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 11.0 / 12.2 8.0 / 17.0
Walks 4.0 / 3.2 1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
86-76-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ARI
LAD
ARI
ML
56% 92-73
54% 87-74
48% 79-87
54% 86-74
ATS
59% 98-67
57% 91-70
43% 72-94
56% 89-71
TTL
48% 77-82-6
52% 80-73-8
44% 70-90-6
49% 73-77-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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