SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
72-62 | Road
4
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
66-66 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Herrin
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 1.72 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Tim Herrin | None-None | 4.84 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.72 Ldr
ERA
4.84
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
54%
GUARDIANS
46%
MARINERS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
SEA By 1-2 runs
17.2%
SEA By 3-4 runs
11.7%
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.3%
CLE By 3-4 runs
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3.64
SEATTLE
Cleveland
4.26
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Guardians
Win
46% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
C
Sim
Guardians (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
SEA @ CLE
5 - 6
Jun 27, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 4
Jun 26, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 1
Mar 29, 2026
CLE @ SEA
0 - 8
Mar 28, 2026
CLE @ SEA
6 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.19
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.380
.693
OPS
▲
.696
182
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+2.2% more
Cleveland: 4.2
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.6%
Cleveland: 23.9%
vs
Seattle: 23.3%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.2%
Cleveland: 31.6%
vs
Seattle: 31.4%
Home Runs (L5)
+75.3% more
Seattle: 1.6
vs
Cleveland: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.6
4
CLE Score
4.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.3
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
5.2 / 7.9
9.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 1.6
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 9.1
6.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
6.7 / 14.0
17.0 / 15.0
Walks
2.3 / 2.5
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
SEA
CLE
SEA
ML
54%
87-74
50%
81-81
49%
80-82
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
93-68
60%
98-64
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
TTL
55%
88-71-2
56%
85-67-10
43%
69-90-2
53%
81-71-10
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