Home / MLB Projections MLB / Yankees @ White Sox NYY @ CHW

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

74-60  |  Road

10
FINAL
Fri, Aug 29 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

48-86  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Tim Hill
STARTING PITCHER

Tim Hill

#41 | Relief Pitcher
@
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tim Hill None-None 2.83 -- 1.0 1
Grant Taylor None-None 6.51 -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
2.83 Ldr ERA 6.51
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
69%
📊
WHITE SOX
31%
YANKEES --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
YankeesNYY (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yankees Cover

69.4%

White Sox Cover

30.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

NYY By 1-2 runs

19.6%

NYY By 3-4 runs

18.5%

CHW By 1-2 runs

13.5%

CHW By 3-4 runs

7.7%

AI Model Projected Score
6.22
NEW YORK
4.19
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Yankees Win
69% Win Prob
C
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Yankees (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Sim White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.4
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 30, 2026 NYY @ CHW 1 - 2
Jul 29, 2026 NYY @ CHW 5 - 6
Jul 28, 2026 NYY @ CHW 3 - 2
Jul 27, 2026 NYY @ CHW 9 - 5
Jun 18, 2026 CHW @ NYY 5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYY
vs
Chicago CHW
1
Games Played
1
9.00 ▲
Runs / Game
6.00
.375 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.324
.447 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.415
.594 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
1.041 ▲
OPS
.826
2 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +65.1% more
New York: 3.3 vs Chicago: 1.1
Total Bases (L5) +46.9% more
New York: 22.3 vs Chicago: 11.8
Runs per Game (Season) +33.3% more
New York: 9.0 vs Chicago: 6.0
Hits (L5) +25.6% more
New York: 10.4 vs Chicago: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYY Score 6.2 10
CHW Score 4.2 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.2 / 0.5 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.7 / 10.4 12.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 3.3 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 7.7 / 9.4 14.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 11.8 / 22.3 13.0 / 13.0
Walks 3.2 / 3.2 9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
97%MONEY3%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
CHW
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
NYY
CHW
NYY
ML
48% 81-87
47% 76-85
56% 94-74
52% 85-77
ATS
59% 99-69
59% 95-66
55% 93-75
53% 86-76
TTL
58% 97-69-2
53% 81-73-7
51% 85-81-2
53% 82-72-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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