ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
66-69 | Road
3
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
77-57 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zac Gallen
#23 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | None-None | 4.94 | -- | 6.0 | 8 |
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 2.86 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.94
ERA
Ldr 2.86
--
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
8 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
41%
DODGERS
59%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
ARI By 1-2 runs
15.6%
ARI By 3-4 runs
9.8%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
17.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
5.25
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
6.54
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Arizona
4
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.8
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026
LAD @ ARI
3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026
ARI @ LAD
5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026
ARI @ LAD
9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.318
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.720
OPS
▲
.762
166
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+101.9% more
Los Angeles: 12.5
vs
Arizona: 6.2
Home Runs (L5)
+73.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.6
vs
Arizona: 0.9
Walks (L5)
+23.6% more
Los Angeles: 3.5
vs
Arizona: 2.8
Home Runs (Season)
+22.9% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Arizona: 166.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
5.3
3
LAD Score
6.5
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 9.8
3.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
12.5 / 6.2
14.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
14.5 / 14.3
4.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.5 / 2.8
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ARI
LAD
ARI
ML
56%
92-73
54%
87-74
48%
79-87
54%
86-74
ATS
59%
98-67
57%
91-70
43%
72-94
56%
89-71
TTL
48%
77-82-6
52%
80-73-8
44%
70-90-6
49%
73-77-9
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